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Dropping odds today

Today's dropping odds: the football, baseball and basketball games where the price has shortened the most since we first recorded the market — ranked by how far the no-vig win probability rose. Markets are sampled every 5 minutes; this page refreshes about every 15 minutes. Moves like these are what our soccer predictions today are built on, and every pick is graded on the public record.

Started in the last 24 hours · 40 games

StartMatchDropping sideOddsWin prob.
Oct 12
2:05 PM JST
🏀 Japan - B.League Premier
Shiga Lake Stars vs Shinshu Brave Warriors
Shiga Lake Stars 1.99 (-101) → 1.61 (-164) 48% → 59% (+11.7)
Oct 11
10:00 AM UTC
🏀 Spain - ACB
Obradoiro CAB vs Forca Lleida
Forca Lleida 2.60 (+160) → 2.05 (+105) 37% → 47% (+10.3)
Oct 12
2:05 PM JST
🏀 Japan - B.League Premier
Saga Ballooners vs Gunma Crane Thunders
Gunma Crane Thunders 1.34 (-294) → 1.19 (-525) 70% → 79% (+9.1)
Oct 11
5:15 PM UTC
⚽ Norway - Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Molde
Lillestrom 3.03 (+203) → 2.39 (+139) 31% → 40% (+9.1)
Oct 11
10:00 AM UTC
⚽ Portugal - Liga 2
Lusitania Lourosa vs Chaves
Lusitania Lourosa 2.36 (+136) → 1.96 (-104) 40% → 49% (+8.1)
Oct 11
7:00 PM UTC
⚽ Spain - Segunda Division
Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon
Cadiz 2.57 (+157) → 2.15 (+115) 37% → 45% (+7.9)
Oct 11
7:00 PM UTC
⚽ Brazil - Serie A
Atletico Mineiro vs Santos
Santos 3.61 (+261) → 2.83 (+183) 26% → 34% (+7.8)
Oct 11
11:35 AM UTC
⚽ China - Super League
Liaoning Tieren vs Wuhan Three Towns
Liaoning Tieren 2.28 (+128) → 1.95 (-105) 42% → 49% (+7.7)
Oct 11
10:30 AM UTC
⚽ Turkey - Super League
Konyaspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir
Konyaspor 2.74 (+174) → 2.29 (+129) 35% → 42% (+7.5)
Oct 11
10:00 AM UTC
🏀 Spain - Liga FEB
Palmer Basket vs Zamora
Palmer Basket 1.66 (-152) → 1.47 (-213) 57% → 65% (+7.1)
Oct 11
4:30 PM UK
⚽ England - Premier League
Liverpool vs Manchester City
Manchester City 2.52 (+152) → 2.14 (+114) 38% → 45% (+7.0)
Oct 11
10:00 AM UTC
⚽ Ukraine - Premier League
LNZ Cherkasy vs Kudrivka
Draw 5.55 (+455) → 3.96 (+296) 17% → 24% (+7.0)
Oct 11
3:00 PM UTC
⚽ Norway - Eliteserien
Start vs Ham-Kam
Start 1.94 (-106) → 1.73 (-137) 49% → 56% (+6.8)
Oct 11
10:30 AM UTC
🏀 Poland - Basket Liga
Asseco Prokom Gdynia vs Trefl Sopot
Asseco Prokom Gdynia 1.36 (-281) → 1.24 (-415) 69% → 76% (+6.8)
Oct 11
1:00 PM UTC
⚽ Latvia - Virsliga
RFS vs Jelgava
RFS 1.14 (-740) → 1.08 (-1302) 82% → 88% (+6.2)
Oct 11
2:00 PM UK
⚽ Scotland - Premiership
Aberdeen vs St Johnstone
Aberdeen 2.24 (+124) → 1.97 (-103) 43% → 49% (+6.2)
Oct 11
3:00 PM UTC
🏀 Italy - Lega A
Pallacanestro Cantu vs Gevi Napoli Basket
Gevi Napoli Basket 1.52 (-193) → 1.40 (-253) 62% → 68% (+5.8)
Oct 11
4:15 PM UTC
🏀 Italy - Lega A
Maxima Roma vs BC Roma
Maxima Roma 1.62 (-161) → 1.48 (-208) 58% → 64% (+5.8)
Oct 11
11:10 PM UTC
⚽ Colombia - Primera A
Boyaca Chico vs Cucuta Deportivo
Boyaca Chico 2.36 (+136) → 2.09 (+109) 40% → 46% (+5.2)
Oct 11
11:30 AM UTC
⚽ Germany - Bundesliga 2
Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld
Bochum 2.28 (+128) → 2.06 (+106) 42% → 47% (+5.2)
Oct 11
2:00 PM UTC
⚽ India - Super League
Churchill Brothers vs Mumbai City
Mumbai City 1.87 (-115) → 1.69 (-144) 51% → 56% (+5.2)
Oct 11
11:00 PM UTC
⚽ Mexico - Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna
Santos Laguna 3.70 (+270) → 3.14 (+214) 26% → 31% (+5.2)
Oct 11
3:00 PM UTC
⚽ Norway - 1st Division
Egersunds vs Hodd
Egersunds 1.72 (-139) → 1.57 (-174) 55% → 60% (+5.0)
Oct 11
7:07 PM ET
🏒 NHL
Philadelphia Flyers vs Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina Hurricanes 1.57 (-174) → 1.47 (-213) 62% → 66% (+4.7)
Oct 12
1:15 AM UTC
⚽ Mexico - Liga MX
Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul
Pumas UNAM 3.52 (+252) → 3.06 (+206) 27% → 32% (+4.6)
Oct 11
4:30 PM UTC
⚽ Belgium - Pro League
KVC Westerlo vs Royal Antwerp
KVC Westerlo 2.12 (+112) → 1.93 (-107) 45% → 50% (+4.6)
Oct 11
5:55 PM UTC
🏀 Israel - Premier League
Hapoel Holon vs Hapoel Jerusalem
Hapoel Jerusalem 1.42 (-238) → 1.34 (-296) 66% → 71% (+4.5)
Oct 12
1:10 AM UTC
🏀 NBA Preseason
Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls 3.52 (+252) → 3.01 (+201) 27% → 31% (+4.5)
Oct 11
10:20 PM UTC
⚽ Paraguay - Division Profesional
Libertad Asuncion vs Club Guarani
Libertad Asuncion 2.06 (+106) → 1.88 (-114) 46% → 51% (+4.4)
Oct 11
10:00 AM UTC
🏀 Turkey - Super League
Trabzonspor vs Bordo Sportif RS
Trabzonspor 1.56 (-177) → 1.45 (-224) 58% → 63% (+4.4)
Oct 11
2:30 PM UTC
⚽ Sweden - Allsvenskan
Hacken vs Orgryte
Hacken 1.32 (-310) → 1.27 (-373) 71% → 75% (+4.4)
Oct 11
2:30 PM UTC
⚽ Portugal - Primeira Liga
Rio Ave vs Nacional da Madeira
Rio Ave 2.33 (+133) → 2.14 (+114) 41% → 45% (+4.2)
Oct 11
11:10 PM UTC
🏀 NBA Preseason
Charlotte Hornets vs Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks 2.41 (+141) → 2.18 (+118) 40% → 44% (+4.0)
Oct 11
4:00 PM UTC
⚽ Turkey - Super League
Besiktas vs Kocaelispor
Besiktas 1.25 (-402) → 1.19 (-529) 77% → 81% (+4.0)
Oct 11
10:30 AM UTC
🏀 Spain - ACB
UCAM Murcia vs La Laguna Tenerife
UCAM Murcia 1.50 (-201) → 1.42 (-236) 63% → 67% (+3.9)
Oct 11
1:00 PM UTC
⚽ Italy - Serie A
Lazio vs Monza
Monza 5.84 (+484) → 4.75 (+375) 17% → 20% (+3.9)
Oct 11
1:30 PM UTC
⚽ Estonia - Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn 1.70 (-143) → 1.62 (-162) 54% → 58% (+3.8)
Oct 11
3:30 PM UTC
⚽ Chile - Primera Division
Everton Vina del Mar vs Deportes La Serena
Everton Vina del Mar 1.71 (-141) → 1.60 (-166) 56% → 60% (+3.8)
Oct 12
1:15 AM UTC
⚽ Colombia - Primera A
America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin
America de Cali 1.79 (-126) → 1.68 (-148) 53% → 57% (+3.8)
Oct 11
1:00 PM UTC
⚽ Italy - Serie C Group C
Casarano vs Salernitana
Draw 3.35 (+235) → 2.99 (+199) 28% → 31% (+3.7)

How to read this table

Odds shows the first price we recorded and the latest one, in decimal with American odds in brackets. Win prob. converts both prices to no-vig probability — the bookmaker margin removed — so drops are comparable across sports and markets: “41% → 47% (+6.0)” means the market now rates that side six percentage points more likely to win. Games with a real move and enough history link to their own line movement page with the full chart and a move timeline. New to prices? Try the odds calculator or read what dropping odds mean.

FAQ

What are dropping odds?

Odds that shorten before the game — for example a price moving from 2.30 to 2.05. A shorter price means the market now rates that side more likely to win. Big drops usually follow news (injuries, lineups, weather) or large, informed bets.

How is the drop measured here?

We compare the first snapshot we recorded with the latest one (or the last one before the start) and convert both prices to no-vig win probability — the probability with the bookmaker margin removed. The table ranks games by how many percentage points that probability rose.

How often is this page updated?

The markets are sampled every 5 minutes and this page is rebuilt with every data update, roughly every 15 minutes.

Does a dropping price mean I should bet it?

No. A drop tells you the market moved, not that the move was right, and the value is often gone once a price has shortened. SharpPick grades every pick it issues in public so you can judge for yourself.

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The app pushes an alert the moment a line moves, and turns the strongest moves into picks graded on the public record.

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