Sports picks record — every pick graded

Hit rate by logic · ✓ 17 active logics

✓ ACTIVE = logics whose picks are going out now (the same stamp the app cards carry). From its 10th settled pick a logic must hold 60%+ (and 50%+ over its last 20 once past 20 picks), with a hit rate above what the odds already imply — a logic that wins only because its odds are short is not made active. A logic that falls below the bar leaves this table and the pick list, and comes back once it clears the bar again. Each alert gets exactly one logic. “avg” is the average odds of the logic’s settled picks at the moment they went out; where older picks have no recorded price, the number of picks used is in brackets. We publish each logic’s name and measured hit rate, not its conditions.

How this record is measured

Every alert is written to an append-only ledger the moment it fires, with its timestamp, the market, the line before and after the move, and the call the logic produced. Nothing is edited afterwards — not the call, not the line, not the result. This page covers alerts issued from Sep 8, 2026 to Oct 22, 2026: 5,211 alerts in total, of which 4,081 have a confirmed result.

Results are settled against the final score of the match as collected from the same market feed that produced the odds. Alerts on competitions with no reliable score source are recorded as void and excluded from every percentage on this page. A line that returns to where it started before kickoff retracts its own alert, and that alert is also void — a move that unwinds was never a signal.

Every pick is graded at the line the ledger recorded when the alert fired — the number on the pick card. A favorite flip — a handicap that changes sign — is graded on the moneyline, since the pick in that case is simply the new favorite to win.

Past results do not predict or guarantee future results. Logics with fewer than 20 settled alerts are shown dimmed because the sample is too small to mean anything yet.