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🏀 Basketball NBA Final

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder — odds movement

Oct 20, 2026 · 9:40 PM ET · 624 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 624 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 35 min before tip-off. The favorite flipped: San Antonio Spurs opened favored at 1.74 (-135), but by the last snapshot Oklahoma City Thunder was the favorite at 1.92 (-109). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): San Antonio Spurs 56% → 49%, Oklahoma City Thunder 44% → 51%. The spread moved from San Antonio Spurs -2.5 to San Antonio Spurs +1. The total moved down from 231 to 230.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
San Antonio Spurs1.74 (-135)1.99 (-101)
Oklahoma City Thunder2.20 (+120)1.92 (-109)
spreadSan Antonio Spurs -2.5 · 1.93 (-108)San Antonio Spurs +1 · 1.94 (-106)
TotalO/U 231 · over 1.87 (-115)O/U 230 · over 1.96 (-104)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
42%47%53%58%San Antonio Spurs 49%Oklahoma City Thunder 51%
spread · San Antonio Spurs
-2.5-2-1.5-1+1-2.5 → +1
Total (over/under)
230231231.5232232.5233.5231 → 230

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).