Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund — odds movement
Sep 5, 2026 · 1:30 PM UTC · 485 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 485 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 58 h 5 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: Borussia Dortmund opened favored at 2.24 (+124), but by the last snapshot Hoffenheim was the favorite at 2.48 (+148). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Hoffenheim 32% → 39%, draw 25% → 25%, Borussia Dortmund 43% → 36%. The Asian handicap moved from Hoffenheim +0.25 to Hoffenheim 0. The total stayed at 3.25. The sharpest single move came 8 h 45 min before kickoff: Borussia Dortmund went from 41% to 39% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Hoffenheim | 3.02 (+202) | 2.48 (+148) |
| Draw | 3.91 (+291) | 3.90 (+290) |
| Borussia Dortmund | 2.24 (+124) | 2.72 (+172) |
| Asian handicap | Hoffenheim +0.25 · 1.93 (-107) | Hoffenheim 0 · 1.87 (-115) |
| Total | O/U 3.25 · over 1.93 (-108) | O/U 3.25 · over 1.89 (-112) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).