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⚽ Soccer Germany - Bundesliga Final

Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund — odds movement

Sep 5, 2026 · 1:30 PM UTC · 485 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 485 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 58 h 5 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: Borussia Dortmund opened favored at 2.24 (+124), but by the last snapshot Hoffenheim was the favorite at 2.48 (+148). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Hoffenheim 32% → 39%, draw 25% → 25%, Borussia Dortmund 43% → 36%. The Asian handicap moved from Hoffenheim +0.25 to Hoffenheim 0. The total stayed at 3.25. The sharpest single move came 8 h 45 min before kickoff: Borussia Dortmund went from 41% to 39% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Hoffenheim3.02 (+202)2.48 (+148)
Draw3.91 (+291)3.90 (+290)
Borussia Dortmund2.24 (+124)2.72 (+172)
Asian handicapHoffenheim +0.25 · 1.93 (-107)Hoffenheim 0 · 1.87 (-115)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 1.93 (-108)O/U 3.25 · over 1.89 (-112)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
21%30%38%47%Hoffenheim 39%Draw 25%Borussia Dortmund 36%
Asian handicap · Hoffenheim
0+0.25+0.25 → 0
Total · no change in the recorded window (3.25)

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