Scan with your phone camera New York City vs Nashville SC — odds movement
Sep 4, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 530 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 530 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 53 h 30 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: New York City opened favored at 2.55 (+155), but by the last snapshot Nashville SC was the favorite at 2.28 (+128). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): New York City 37% → 30%, draw 27% → 28%, Nashville SC 36% → 42%. The Asian handicap moved from New York City 0 to New York City +0.25. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 7 h 20 min before kickoff: Nashville SC went from 39% to 41% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| New York City | 2.55 (+155) | 3.25 (+225) |
| Draw | 3.59 (+259) | 3.48 (+248) |
| Nashville SC | 2.64 (+164) | 2.28 (+128) |
| Asian handicap | New York City 0 · 1.89 (-112) | New York City +0.25 · 1.93 (-108) |
| Total | O/U 2.75 · over 2.00 (+100) | O/U 2.75 · over 2.01 (+101) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).