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⚽ Soccer Italy - Serie A Final

Fiorentina vs Torino — odds movement

Sep 5, 2026 · 1:00 PM UTC · 485 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 485 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 57 h 35 min before kickoff. Fiorentina opened as the favorite at 1.92 (-109) and drifted to 2.19 (+119). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Fiorentina 50% → 44%, draw 30% → 30%, Torino 20% → 26%. The Asian handicap moved from Fiorentina -0.5 to Fiorentina -0.25. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 1 h 40 min before kickoff: Fiorentina went from 49% to 47% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Fiorentina1.92 (-109)2.19 (+119)
Draw3.26 (+226)3.25 (+225)
Torino4.84 (+384)3.79 (+279)
Asian handicapFiorentina -0.5 · 1.93 (-108)Fiorentina -0.25 · 1.87 (-115)
TotalO/U 2.25 · over 1.88 (-114)O/U 2.25 · over 1.83 (-121)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
14%28%42%56%Fiorentina 44%Draw 30%Torino 26%
Asian handicap · Fiorentina
-0.5-0.25-0.5 → -0.25
Total (over/under)
2.252.52.25 → 2.25

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