Sep 6, 2026 · 1:00 PM UTC · 239 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 239 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 20 h 10 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: Venezia opened favored at 2.55 (+155), but by the last snapshot Frosinone was the favorite at 2.42 (+142). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Frosinone 34% → 40%, draw 28% → 27%, Venezia 38% → 33%. The Asian handicap moved from Frosinone 0 to Frosinone -0.25. The total moved up from 2.5 to 3.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Frosinone
2.82 (+182)
2.42 (+142)
Draw
3.49 (+249)
3.59 (+259)
Venezia
2.55 (+155)
2.98 (+198)
Asian handicap
Frosinone 0 · 2.06 (+106)
Frosinone -0.25 · 2.10 (+110)
Total
O/U 2.5 · over 1.85 (-118)
O/U 3 · over 1.85 (-117)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Frosinone
Total (over/under)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.