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⚽ Soccer Italy - Serie A Final

Frosinone vs Venezia — odds movement

Sep 6, 2026 · 1:00 PM UTC · 239 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 239 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 20 h 10 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: Venezia opened favored at 2.55 (+155), but by the last snapshot Frosinone was the favorite at 2.42 (+142). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Frosinone 34% → 40%, draw 28% → 27%, Venezia 38% → 33%. The Asian handicap moved from Frosinone 0 to Frosinone -0.25. The total moved up from 2.5 to 3.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Frosinone2.82 (+182)2.42 (+142)
Draw3.49 (+249)3.59 (+259)
Venezia2.55 (+155)2.98 (+198)
Asian handicapFrosinone 0 · 2.06 (+106)Frosinone -0.25 · 2.10 (+110)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.85 (-118)O/U 3 · over 1.85 (-117)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
24%31%37%43%Frosinone 40%Draw 27%Venezia 33%
Asian handicap · Frosinone
-0.2500 → -0.25
Total (over/under)
2.52.7532.5 → 3

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).