Sep 7, 2026 · 4:30 PM UTC · 569 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 569 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 47 h 40 min before kickoff. Cagliari opened as the favorite at 2.05 (+105) and drifted to 2.34 (+134). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Cagliari 47% → 42%, draw 30% → 32%, Lecce 23% → 26%. The Asian handicap moved from Cagliari -0.5 to Cagliari -0.25. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 50 minutes before kickoff: Cagliari went from 45% to 44% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Cagliari
2.05 (+105)
2.34 (+134)
Draw
3.23 (+223)
3.03 (+203)
Lecce
4.23 (+323)
3.71 (+271)
Asian handicap
Cagliari -0.5 · 2.05 (+105)
Cagliari -0.25 · 1.97 (-103)
Total
O/U 2.25 · over 2.12 (+112)
O/U 2.25 · over 2.13 (+113)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Cagliari
Total (over/under)
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