Scan with your phone camera Sao Paulo vs Atletico Mineiro — odds movement
Sep 5, 2026 · 9:30 PM UTC · 329 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 329 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 61 h 25 min before kickoff. Sao Paulo opened as the favorite at 2.14 (+114) and shortened to 1.94 (-106). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Sao Paulo 44% → 50%, draw 32% → 29%, Atletico Mineiro 24% → 21%. The Asian handicap moved from Sao Paulo -0.25 to Sao Paulo -0.5. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 60 minutes before kickoff: Sao Paulo went from 46% to 50% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Sao Paulo | 2.14 (+114) | 1.94 (-106) |
| Draw | 3.01 (+201) | 3.35 (+235) |
| Atletico Mineiro | 3.99 (+299) | 4.52 (+352) |
| Asian handicap | Sao Paulo -0.25 · 1.81 (-123) | Sao Paulo -0.5 · 1.94 (-106) |
| Total | O/U 2.25 · over 1.93 (-107) | O/U 2.25 · over 1.98 (-102) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).