Sep 6, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 311 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 311 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 26 h 10 min before kickoff. Cruzeiro opened as the favorite at 1.89 (-113) and shortened to 1.72 (-139). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Cruzeiro 51% → 56%, draw 28% → 25%, Athletico Paranaense 22% → 19%. The Asian handicap moved from Cruzeiro -0.5 to Cruzeiro -0.75. The total moved up from 2.25 to 2.5. The sharpest single move came 9 h 10 min before kickoff: Cruzeiro went from 58% to 51% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Cruzeiro
1.89 (-113)
1.72 (-139)
Draw
3.43 (+243)
3.89 (+289)
Athletico Paranaense
4.39 (+339)
5.05 (+405)
Asian handicap
Cruzeiro -0.5 · 1.90 (-111)
Cruzeiro -0.75 · 1.93 (-107)
Total
O/U 2.25 · over 1.86 (-116)
O/U 2.5 · over 1.83 (-121)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Cruzeiro
Total (over/under)
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