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⚽ Soccer England - Championship Final

Burnley vs Middlesbrough — odds movement

Sep 2, 2026 · 8:00 PM UK · 240 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 240 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 27 h 55 min before kickoff. Middlesbrough opened as the favorite at 2.42 (+142) and shortened to 2.31 (+131). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Burnley 34% → 32%, draw 26% → 26%, Middlesbrough 39% → 42%. The Asian handicap moved from Burnley 0 to Burnley +0.25. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Burnley2.77 (+177)3.02 (+202)
Draw3.62 (+262)3.70 (+270)
Middlesbrough2.42 (+142)2.31 (+131)
Asian handicapBurnley 0 · 2.08 (+108)Burnley +0.25 · 1.89 (-113)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.95 (-105)O/U 3 · over 2.03 (+103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
23%30%38%45%Burnley 32%Draw 26%Middlesbrough 42%
Asian handicap · Burnley
0+0.250 → +0.25
Total (over/under)
2.7532.75 → 3

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).