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⚽ Soccer Japan - J League Final

Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Tokyo — odds movement

Sep 2, 2026 · 7:00 PM JST · 160 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 160 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 18 h 55 min before kickoff. FC Tokyo opened as the favorite at 2.04 (+104) and shortened to 1.76 (-131). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Shimizu S-Pulse 26% → 20%, draw 27% → 25%, FC Tokyo 47% → 55%. The Asian handicap moved from Shimizu S-Pulse +0.5 to Shimizu S-Pulse +0.75. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 5 h 30 min before kickoff: FC Tokyo went from 47% to 49% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Shimizu S-Pulse3.76 (+276)4.71 (+371)
Draw3.52 (+252)3.90 (+290)
FC Tokyo2.04 (+104)1.76 (-131)
Asian handicapShimizu S-Pulse +0.5 · 1.85 (-118)Shimizu S-Pulse +0.75 · 1.89 (-112)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 2.07 (+107)O/U 2.5 · over 2.04 (+104)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
14%30%46%61%Shimizu S-Pulse 20%Draw 25%FC Tokyo 55%
Asian handicap · Shimizu S-Pulse
+0.5+0.75+0.5 → +0.75
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)

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