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LG Twins vs Samsung Lions — odds movement

Sep 4, 2026 · 6:30 PM KST · 172 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch

How the odds moved

We recorded 172 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 19 h 10 min before first pitch. Samsung Lions opened as the favorite at 1.89 (-112) and shortened to 1.79 (-126). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): LG Twins 50% → 47%, Samsung Lions 50% → 53%. The run line held at LG Twins +1.5 the whole way. The total moved down from 9.5 to 8.5. The sharpest single move came 5 h 30 min before first pitch: LG Twins went from 50% to 48% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
LG Twins1.93 (-108)2.04 (+104)
Samsung Lions1.89 (-112)1.79 (-126)
run lineLG Twins +1.5 · 1.60 (-166)LG Twins +1.5 · 1.64 (-157)
TotalO/U 9.5 · over 1.96 (-104)O/U 8.5 · over 1.90 (-111)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
46%49%51%54%LG Twins 47%Samsung Lions 53%
run line · LG Twins
-1.5+1.5+1.5 → +1.5
Total (over/under)
8.59.59.5 → 8.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).