LG Twins vs Samsung Lions — odds movement
Sep 4, 2026 · 6:30 PM KST · 172 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch
How the odds moved
We recorded 172 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 19 h 10 min before first pitch. Samsung Lions opened as the favorite at 1.89 (-112) and shortened to 1.79 (-126). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): LG Twins 50% → 47%, Samsung Lions 50% → 53%. The run line held at LG Twins +1.5 the whole way. The total moved down from 9.5 to 8.5. The sharpest single move came 5 h 30 min before first pitch: LG Twins went from 50% to 48% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| LG Twins | 1.93 (-108) | 2.04 (+104) |
| Samsung Lions | 1.89 (-112) | 1.79 (-126) |
| run line | LG Twins +1.5 · 1.60 (-166) | LG Twins +1.5 · 1.64 (-157) |
| Total | O/U 9.5 · over 1.96 (-104) | O/U 8.5 · over 1.90 (-111) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).