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⚽ Soccer Portugal - Primeira Liga Final

Sporting CP vs Nacional da Madeira — odds movement

Sep 5, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC · 212 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 212 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 25 h 45 min before kickoff. The Asian handicap moved from Sporting CP -2 to Sporting CP -2.25. The total moved up from 3.25 to 3.5. The sharpest single move came 14 h 20 min before kickoff: Sporting CP went from 80% to 82% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Asian handicapSporting CP -2 · 1.96 (-104)Sporting CP -2.25 · 1.85 (-118)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 1.78 (-128)O/U 3.5 · over 2.01 (+101)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-15%23%62%101%Sporting CP 86%Nacional da Madeira 9%
Asian handicap · Sporting CP
-2.25-2-2 → -2.25
Total (over/under)
3.253.53.25 → 3.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).