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⚽ Soccer England - Premier League Final

Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town — odds movement

Sep 12, 2026 · 3:00 PM UK · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Crystal Palace opened as the favorite at 1.89 (-112) and drifted to 2.16 (+116). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Crystal Palace 51% → 45%, draw 25% → 27%, Ipswich Town 24% → 28%. The Asian handicap held at Crystal Palace -0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 55 minutes before kickoff: Crystal Palace went from 48% to 46% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Crystal Palace1.89 (-112)2.16 (+116)
Draw3.92 (+292)3.62 (+262)
Ipswich Town3.97 (+297)3.47 (+247)
Asian handicapCrystal Palace -0.5 · 1.90 (-111)Crystal Palace -0.5 · 2.17 (+117)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 2.05 (+105)O/U 2.75 · over 1.93 (-107)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
18%31%44%57%Crystal Palace 45%Draw 27%Ipswich Town 28%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.5)
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.75 → 2.75

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