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Fenerbahce vs Besiktas — odds movement

Sep 5, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC · 274 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 274 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 59 h 55 min before kickoff. Fenerbahce opened as the favorite at 1.83 (-120) and drifted to 2.30 (+130). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Fenerbahce 52% → 42%, draw 25% → 28%, Besiktas 24% → 30%. The Asian handicap moved from Fenerbahce -0.5 to Fenerbahce -0.25. The total moved down from 2.75 to 2.5. The sharpest single move came 12 h 30 min before kickoff: Fenerbahce went from 52% to 49% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Fenerbahce1.83 (-120)2.30 (+130)
Draw3.87 (+287)3.42 (+242)
Besiktas4.03 (+303)3.27 (+227)
Asian handicapFenerbahce -0.5 · 1.84 (-119)Fenerbahce -0.25 · 1.98 (-102)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.93 (-108)O/U 2.5 · over 1.86 (-116)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
18%31%44%57%Fenerbahce 42%Draw 28%Besiktas 30%
Asian handicap · Fenerbahce
-0.5-0.25-0.5 → -0.25
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.75 → 2.5

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