Sep 5, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC · 274 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 274 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 59 h 55 min before kickoff. Fenerbahce opened as the favorite at 1.83 (-120) and drifted to 2.30 (+130). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Fenerbahce 52% → 42%, draw 25% → 28%, Besiktas 24% → 30%. The Asian handicap moved from Fenerbahce -0.5 to Fenerbahce -0.25. The total moved down from 2.75 to 2.5. The sharpest single move came 12 h 30 min before kickoff: Fenerbahce went from 52% to 49% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Fenerbahce
1.83 (-120)
2.30 (+130)
Draw
3.87 (+287)
3.42 (+242)
Besiktas
4.03 (+303)
3.27 (+227)
Asian handicap
Fenerbahce -0.5 · 1.84 (-119)
Fenerbahce -0.25 · 1.98 (-102)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.93 (-108)
O/U 2.5 · over 1.86 (-116)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Fenerbahce
Total (over/under)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.