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⚽ Soccer UEFA - Europa League Final

Bayer Leverkusen vs Celje — odds movement

Sep 16, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 645 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 645 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Bayer Leverkusen opened as the favorite at 1.16 (-623) and shortened to 1.05 (-2101). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Bayer Leverkusen 82% → 93%, draw 12% → 5%, Celje 7% → 2%. The Asian handicap moved from Bayer Leverkusen -2.25 to Bayer Leverkusen -3.25. The total moved up from 3.75 to 4.25.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Bayer Leverkusen1.16 (-623)1.05 (-2101)
Draw8.16 (+716)19.00 (+1800)
Celje14.48 (+1348)43.00 (+4200)
Asian handicapBayer Leverkusen -2.25 · 1.88 (-114)Bayer Leverkusen -3.25 · 1.94 (-106)
TotalO/U 3.75 · over 1.86 (-116)O/U 4.25 · over 1.91 (-110)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-14%27%68%109%Bayer Leverkusen 93%Draw 5%Celje 2%
Asian handicap · Bayer Leverkusen
-3.5-3.25-3-2.75-2.5-2.25-2.25 → -3.25
Total (over/under)
3.7544.253.75 → 4.25

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