Sep 16, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 644 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 644 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Rennes opened as the favorite at 1.89 (-112) and shortened to 1.74 (-136). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Sturm Graz 26% → 21%, draw 24% → 24%, Rennes 50% → 56%. The Asian handicap moved from Sturm Graz +0.5 to Sturm Graz +0.75. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3. The sharpest single move came 21 h 45 min before kickoff: Rennes went from 48% to 50% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Sturm Graz
3.64 (+264)
4.67 (+367)
Draw
4.02 (+302)
4.05 (+305)
Rennes
1.89 (-112)
1.74 (-136)
Asian handicap
Sturm Graz +0.5 · 1.95 (-105)
Sturm Graz +0.75 · 1.96 (-104)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.83 (-121)
O/U 3 · over 1.90 (-111)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Sturm Graz
Total (over/under)
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