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⚽ Soccer Japan - J League Final

FC Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga — odds movement

Sep 6, 2026 · 7:30 PM JST · 209 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 209 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 17 h 40 min before kickoff. FC Tokyo opened as the favorite at 1.65 (-154) and shortened to 1.51 (-196). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): FC Tokyo 58% → 64%, draw 23% → 21%, Kyoto Sanga 19% → 15%. The Asian handicap moved from FC Tokyo -0.75 to FC Tokyo -1. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 1 h 25 min before kickoff: FC Tokyo went from 60% to 62% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
FC Tokyo1.65 (-154)1.51 (-196)
Draw4.10 (+310)4.64 (+364)
Kyoto Sanga5.17 (+417)6.22 (+522)
Asian handicapFC Tokyo -0.75 · 1.83 (-120)FC Tokyo -1 · 1.83 (-120)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.99 (-101)O/U 2.75 · over 1.84 (-119)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
7%29%51%72%FC Tokyo 64%Draw 21%Kyoto Sanga 15%
Asian handicap · FC Tokyo
-1-0.75-0.75 → -1
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.75)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).