Sep 17, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Bournemouth opened as the favorite at 2.40 (+140) and shortened to 2.07 (+107). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Real Sociedad 34% → 27%, draw 27% → 26%, Bournemouth 40% → 47%. The Asian handicap moved from Real Sociedad +0.25 to Real Sociedad +0.5. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3. The sharpest single move came 60 minutes before kickoff: Bournemouth went from 42% to 47% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Real Sociedad
2.82 (+182)
3.59 (+259)
Draw
3.58 (+258)
3.68 (+268)
Bournemouth
2.40 (+140)
2.07 (+107)
Asian handicap
Real Sociedad +0.25 · 1.78 (-128)
Real Sociedad +0.5 · 1.84 (-119)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.93 (-108)
O/U 3 · over 2.06 (+106)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Real Sociedad
Total (over/under)
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