Sep 12, 2026 · 6:45 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Atalanta opened as the favorite at 1.56 (-179) and drifted to 1.71 (-141). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Atalanta 62% → 57%, draw 23% → 26%, Cagliari 15% → 18%. The Asian handicap moved from Atalanta -1 to Atalanta -0.75. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 12 h 55 min before kickoff: Atalanta went from 59% to 57% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Atalanta
1.56 (-179)
1.71 (-141)
Draw
4.24 (+324)
3.77 (+277)
Cagliari
6.25 (+525)
5.47 (+447)
Asian handicap
Atalanta -1 · 1.98 (-102)
Atalanta -0.75 · 1.93 (-108)
Total
O/U 2.5 · over 1.94 (-106)
O/U 2.5 · over 1.90 (-111)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Atalanta
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)
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