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Atalanta vs Cagliari — odds movement

Sep 12, 2026 · 6:45 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Atalanta opened as the favorite at 1.56 (-179) and drifted to 1.71 (-141). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Atalanta 62% → 57%, draw 23% → 26%, Cagliari 15% → 18%. The Asian handicap moved from Atalanta -1 to Atalanta -0.75. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 12 h 55 min before kickoff: Atalanta went from 59% to 57% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Atalanta1.56 (-179)1.71 (-141)
Draw4.24 (+324)3.77 (+277)
Cagliari6.25 (+525)5.47 (+447)
Asian handicapAtalanta -1 · 1.98 (-102)Atalanta -0.75 · 1.93 (-108)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.94 (-106)O/U 2.5 · over 1.90 (-111)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
7%28%49%70%Atalanta 57%Draw 26%Cagliari 18%
Asian handicap · Atalanta
-1-0.75-1 → -0.75
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)

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