Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt — odds movement
Sep 12, 2026 · 1:30 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Mainz 05 opened as the favorite at 2.04 (+104) and shortened to 1.77 (-130). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Mainz 05 47% → 55%, draw 24% → 23%, Eintracht Frankfurt 29% → 22%. The Asian handicap moved from Mainz 05 -0.5 to Mainz 05 -0.75. The total stayed at 3.25. The sharpest single move came 8 h 10 min before kickoff: Mainz 05 went from 50% to 52% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Mainz 05 | 2.04 (+104) | 1.77 (-130) |
| Draw | 4.01 (+301) | 4.17 (+317) |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 3.39 (+239) | 4.43 (+343) |
| Asian handicap | Mainz 05 -0.5 · 2.05 (+105) | Mainz 05 -0.75 · 1.98 (-102) |
| Total | O/U 3.25 · over 2.03 (+103) | O/U 3.25 · over 2.00 (+100) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).