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⚽ Soccer Portugal - Primeira Liga Final

Gil Vicente vs Academico de Viseu — odds movement

Sep 6, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC · 317 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 317 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 26 h 40 min before kickoff. Gil Vicente opened as the favorite at 1.87 (-115) and drifted to 2.50 (+150). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Gil Vicente 51% → 39%, draw 27% → 32%, Academico de Viseu 23% → 30%. The Asian handicap moved from Gil Vicente -0.5 to Gil Vicente -0.25. The total moved down from 2.25 to 2. The sharpest single move came 14 h 15 min before kickoff: Gil Vicente went from 46% to 43% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Gil Vicente1.87 (-115)2.50 (+150)
Draw3.57 (+257)3.05 (+205)
Academico de Viseu4.22 (+322)3.28 (+228)
Asian handicapGil Vicente -0.5 · 1.89 (-113)Gil Vicente -0.25 · 2.11 (+111)
TotalO/U 2.25 · over 1.85 (-117)O/U 2 · over 1.88 (-114)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
17%30%43%56%Gil Vicente 39%Draw 32%Academico de Viseu 30%
Asian handicap · Gil Vicente
-0.5-0.25-0.5 → -0.25
Total (over/under)
22.252.25 → 2

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).