Sep 6, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC · 317 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 317 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 26 h 40 min before kickoff. Gil Vicente opened as the favorite at 1.87 (-115) and drifted to 2.50 (+150). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Gil Vicente 51% → 39%, draw 27% → 32%, Academico de Viseu 23% → 30%. The Asian handicap moved from Gil Vicente -0.5 to Gil Vicente -0.25. The total moved down from 2.25 to 2. The sharpest single move came 14 h 15 min before kickoff: Gil Vicente went from 46% to 43% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Gil Vicente
1.87 (-115)
2.50 (+150)
Draw
3.57 (+257)
3.05 (+205)
Academico de Viseu
4.22 (+322)
3.28 (+228)
Asian handicap
Gil Vicente -0.5 · 1.89 (-113)
Gil Vicente -0.25 · 2.11 (+111)
Total
O/U 2.25 · over 1.85 (-117)
O/U 2 · over 1.88 (-114)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Gil Vicente
Total (over/under)
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