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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

New York City vs New England Revolution — odds movement

Sep 9, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: New York City opened favored at 2.22 (+122), but by the last snapshot New England Revolution was the favorite at 2.55 (+155). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): New York City 43% → 35%, draw 26% → 27%, New England Revolution 31% → 38%. The Asian handicap moved from New York City -0.25 to New York City 0. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 19 h 25 min before kickoff: New York City went from 42% to 44% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

	First snapshot	Last before start
New York City	2.22 (+122)	2.74 (+174)
Draw	3.66 (+266)	3.62 (+262)
New England Revolution	3.06 (+206)	2.55 (+155)
Asian handicap	New York City -0.25 · 1.94 (-106)	New York City 0 · 2.03 (+103)
Total	O/U 2.75 · over 1.88 (-114)	O/U 2.75 · over 1.89 (-112)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig

Asian handicap · New York City

Total · no change in the recorded window (2.75)

Move timeline · UTC

23:32 New York City moneyline 2.69 → 2.74
22:47 New York City moneyline 2.63 → 2.68
22:17 New York City moneyline 2.61 → 2.63
21:17 New York City moneyline 2.57 → 2.61
12:47 New York City moneyline 2.53 → 2.55
12:32 New York City moneyline 2.49 → 2.53
10:47 New York City moneyline 2.45 → 2.48
10:32 New York City moneyline 2.43 → 2.45
10:17 New York City moneyline 2.31 → 2.43
10:17 Asian handicap (New York City) -0.25 → 0
10:02 New York City moneyline 2.27 → 2.31
06:12 New York City moneyline 2.22 → 2.26
05:27 New York City moneyline 2.19 → 2.22
04:57 New York City moneyline 2.16 → 2.19
04:37 New York City moneyline 2.30 → 2.16
04:22 New York City moneyline 2.27 → 2.30
03:52 New York City moneyline 2.25 → 2.27
00:17 New York City moneyline 2.23 → 2.25
23:02 New York City moneyline 2.28 → 2.23
17:42 New York City moneyline 2.22 → 2.28

Where this data comes from

SharpPick samples the sharpest betting markets in the world every 5 minutes. Injuries, lineups and weather tend to reach the odds before the news, so a line that moves is usually money that moved. When a move is strong enough, the app issues a pick — and every pick is graded on the public record.

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).