Sep 9, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Nashville SC opened as the favorite at 2.31 (+131) and shortened to 2.03 (+103). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Toronto FC 32% → 26%, draw 27% → 26%, Nashville SC 41% → 48%. The Asian handicap moved from Toronto FC +0.25 to Toronto FC +0.5. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 9 h 55 min before kickoff: Nashville SC went from 43% to 45% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Toronto FC
2.96 (+196)
3.66 (+266)
Draw
3.58 (+258)
3.74 (+274)
Nashville SC
2.31 (+131)
2.03 (+103)
Asian handicap
Toronto FC +0.25 · 1.84 (-119)
Toronto FC +0.5 · 1.88 (-114)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.88 (-114)
O/U 2.75 · over 1.96 (-104)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Toronto FC
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.75)
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