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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes — odds movement

Sep 9, 2026 · 10:30 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. San Diego FC opened as the favorite at 1.81 (-124) and shortened to 1.61 (-163). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): San Diego FC 53% → 60%, draw 22% → 20%, San Jose Earthquakes 25% → 20%. The Asian handicap moved from San Diego FC -0.75 to San Diego FC -1. The total moved up from 3.25 to 3.5. The sharpest single move came 25 minutes before kickoff: San Diego FC went from 57% to 60% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
San Diego FC1.81 (-124)1.61 (-163)
Draw4.29 (+329)4.71 (+371)
San Jose Earthquakes3.75 (+275)4.86 (+386)
Asian handicapSan Diego FC -0.75 · 2.03 (+103)San Diego FC -1 · 1.99 (-101)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 1.85 (-118)O/U 3.5 · over 1.96 (-104)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
13%31%49%67%San Diego FC 60%Draw 20%San Jose Earthquakes 20%
Asian handicap · San Diego FC
-1-0.75-0.75 → -1
Total (over/under)
3.253.53.25 → 3.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).