Sep 16, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Sunderland opened as the favorite at 1.63 (-160) and shortened to 1.49 (-204). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Sunderland 58% → 65%, draw 23% → 21%, AZ Alkmaar 19% → 14%. The Asian handicap moved from Sunderland -0.75 to Sunderland -1. The total moved down from 2.75 to 2.5. The sharpest single move came 2 h 20 min before kickoff: Sunderland went from 64% to 67% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Sunderland
1.63 (-160)
1.49 (-204)
Draw
4.14 (+314)
4.50 (+350)
AZ Alkmaar
5.04 (+404)
6.90 (+590)
Asian handicap
Sunderland -0.75 · 1.81 (-124)
Sunderland -1 · 1.84 (-119)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.91 (-110)
O/U 2.5 · over 1.84 (-119)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Sunderland
Total (over/under)
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