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⚽ Soccer Brazil - Serie A Final

Santos vs Cruzeiro — odds movement

Sep 13, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: Cruzeiro opened favored at 2.44 (+144), but by the last snapshot Santos was the favorite at 2.57 (+157). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Santos 32% → 38%, draw 29% → 29%, Cruzeiro 39% → 34%. The Asian handicap moved from Santos +0.25 to Santos 0. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 50 minutes before kickoff: Santos went from 35% to 37% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Santos2.98 (+198)2.57 (+157)
Draw3.31 (+231)3.36 (+236)
Cruzeiro2.44 (+144)2.88 (+188)
Asian handicapSantos +0.25 · 1.78 (-129)Santos 0 · 1.83 (-120)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 2.02 (+102)O/U 2.5 · over 1.93 (-108)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
26%31%37%42%Santos 38%Draw 29%Cruzeiro 34%
Asian handicap · Santos
0+0.25+0.25 → 0
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).