Sep 13, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: Cruzeiro opened favored at 2.44 (+144), but by the last snapshot Santos was the favorite at 2.57 (+157). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Santos 32% → 38%, draw 29% → 29%, Cruzeiro 39% → 34%. The Asian handicap moved from Santos +0.25 to Santos 0. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 50 minutes before kickoff: Santos went from 35% to 37% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Santos
2.98 (+198)
2.57 (+157)
Draw
3.31 (+231)
3.36 (+236)
Cruzeiro
2.44 (+144)
2.88 (+188)
Asian handicap
Santos +0.25 · 1.78 (-129)
Santos 0 · 1.83 (-120)
Total
O/U 2.5 · over 2.02 (+102)
O/U 2.5 · over 1.93 (-108)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Santos
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.