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Chapecoense vs Internacional — odds movement

Sep 12, 2026 · 8:00 PM UTC · 467 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 467 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 39 h 10 min before kickoff. Internacional opened as the favorite at 2.26 (+126) and shortened to 1.97 (-103). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Chapecoense 30% → 24%, draw 28% → 27%, Internacional 42% → 49%. The Asian handicap moved from Chapecoense +0.25 to Chapecoense +0.5. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 7 h 55 min before kickoff: Internacional went from 44% to 49% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Chapecoense3.22 (+222)4.08 (+308)
Draw3.38 (+238)3.55 (+255)
Internacional2.26 (+126)1.97 (-103)
Asian handicapChapecoense +0.25 · 1.90 (-111)Chapecoense +0.5 · 1.92 (-109)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.89 (-113)O/U 2.5 · over 1.86 (-116)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
19%31%42%54%Chapecoense 24%Draw 27%Internacional 49%
Asian handicap · Chapecoense
+0.25+0.5+0.25 → +0.5
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)

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