Scan with your phone camera Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo — odds movement
Sep 12, 2026 · 9:30 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Palmeiras opened as the favorite at 1.64 (-156) and shortened to 1.50 (-200). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Palmeiras 58% → 64%, draw 25% → 23%, Sao Paulo 17% → 12%. The Asian handicap moved from Palmeiras -0.75 to Palmeiras -1. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 55 minutes before kickoff: Palmeiras went from 60% to 66% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Palmeiras | 1.64 (-156) | 1.50 (-200) |
| Draw | 3.85 (+285) | 4.17 (+317) |
| Sao Paulo | 5.50 (+450) | 7.78 (+678) |
| Asian handicap | Palmeiras -0.75 · 1.84 (-119) | Palmeiras -1 · 1.84 (-119) |
| Total | O/U 2.5 · over 2.00 (+100) | O/U 2.5 · over 2.08 (+108) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).