Sep 15, 2026 · 12:15 PM UTC · 119 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 119 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 10 h 10 min before kickoff. Beijing Guoan opened as the favorite at 1.82 (-122) and shortened to 1.49 (-206). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Beijing Guoan 52% → 64%, draw 24% → 22%, Pohang Steelers 23% → 15%. The Asian handicap moved from Beijing Guoan -0.5 to Beijing Guoan -1. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 1 h 10 min before kickoff: Beijing Guoan went from 60% to 64% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Beijing Guoan
1.82 (-122)
1.49 (-206)
Draw
3.89 (+289)
4.39 (+339)
Pohang Steelers
4.05 (+305)
6.41 (+541)
Asian handicap
Beijing Guoan -0.5 · 1.83 (-120)
Beijing Guoan -1 · 1.81 (-124)
Total
O/U 2.5 · over 1.82 (-122)
O/U 2.75 · over 1.85 (-117)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Beijing Guoan
Total (over/under)
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