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⚽ Soccer AFC - Champions League Elite Final

Johor Darul Ta'zim vs Buriram United — odds movement

Sep 15, 2026 · 12:15 PM UTC · 95 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 95 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 8 h 10 min before kickoff. Johor Darul Ta'zim opened as the favorite at 1.73 (-137) and shortened to 1.49 (-203). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Johor Darul Ta'zim 55% → 63%, draw 23% → 21%, Buriram United 22% → 16%. The Asian handicap moved from Johor Darul Ta'zim -0.75 to Johor Darul Ta'zim -1. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 6 h 15 min before kickoff: Johor Darul Ta'zim went from 53% to 58% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

	First snapshot	Last before start
Johor Darul Ta'zim	1.73 (-137)	1.49 (-203)
Draw	4.06 (+306)	4.57 (+357)
Buriram United	4.35 (+335)	5.95 (+495)
Asian handicap	Johor Darul Ta'zim -0.75 · 1.94 (-106)	Johor Darul Ta'zim -1 · 1.83 (-120)
Total	O/U 2.75 · over 1.91 (-110)	O/U 2.75 · over 1.87 (-115)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig

Asian handicap · Johor Darul Ta'zim

Total (over/under)

Move timeline · UTC

11:52 Johor Darul Ta'zim moneyline 1.56 → 1.49
11:37 Total 3 → 2.75
11:22 Johor Darul Ta'zim moneyline 1.54 → 1.56
11:07 Johor Darul Ta'zim moneyline 1.50 → 1.54
10:37 Johor Darul Ta'zim moneyline 1.45 → 1.49
10:37 Asian handicap (Johor Darul Ta'zim) -1.25 → -1
10:07 Johor Darul Ta'zim moneyline 1.47 → 1.46
09:52 Johor Darul Ta'zim moneyline 1.50 → 1.47
09:52 Asian handicap (Johor Darul Ta'zim) -1 → -1.25
08:17 Johor Darul Ta'zim moneyline 1.51 → 1.50
08:02 Johor Darul Ta'zim moneyline 1.54 → 1.51
08:02 Total 2.75 → 3
07:17 Johor Darul Ta'zim moneyline 1.55 → 1.53
07:02 Johor Darul Ta'zim moneyline 1.61 → 1.55
06:32 Johor Darul Ta'zim moneyline 1.65 → 1.61
06:32 Asian handicap (Johor Darul Ta'zim) -0.75 → -1
06:02 Johor Darul Ta'zim moneyline 1.79 → 1.64
05:47 Johor Darul Ta'zim moneyline 1.71 → 1.79
05:12 Johor Darul Ta'zim moneyline 1.70 → 1.71
04:42 Johor Darul Ta'zim moneyline 1.73 → 1.70

Where this data comes from

SharpPick samples the sharpest betting markets in the world every 5 minutes. Injuries, lineups and weather tend to reach the odds before the news, so a line that moves is usually money that moved. When a move is strong enough, the app issues a pick — and every pick is graded on the public record.

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