Deportivo Toluca vs Atlas — odds movement
Sep 12, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Deportivo Toluca opened as the favorite at 1.50 (-201) and shortened to 1.38 (-261). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Deportivo Toluca 63% → 70%, draw 22% → 19%, Atlas 15% → 11%. The Asian handicap moved from Deportivo Toluca -1 to Deportivo Toluca -1.5. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 50 minutes before kickoff: Deportivo Toluca went from 65% to 67% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Deportivo Toluca | 1.50 (-201) | 1.38 (-261) |
| Draw | 4.34 (+334) | 5.07 (+407) |
| Atlas | 6.32 (+532) | 8.45 (+745) |
| Asian handicap | Deportivo Toluca -1 · 1.81 (-124) | Deportivo Toluca -1.5 · 2.06 (+106) |
| Total | O/U 3 · over 2.00 (+100) | O/U 3 · over 1.94 (-106) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).