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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC — odds movement

Sep 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 647 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 647 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. FC Cincinnati opened as the favorite at 1.90 (-111) and drifted to 2.26 (+126). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): FC Cincinnati 50% → 43%, draw 22% → 23%, Charlotte FC 28% → 34%. The Asian handicap moved from FC Cincinnati -0.5 to FC Cincinnati -0.25. The total stayed at 3.5. The sharpest single move came 41 h 10 min before kickoff: FC Cincinnati went from 53% to 48% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
FC Cincinnati1.90 (-111)2.26 (+126)
Draw4.38 (+338)4.19 (+319)
Charlotte FC3.35 (+235)2.84 (+184)
Asian handicapFC Cincinnati -0.5 · 1.91 (-110)FC Cincinnati -0.25 · 2.01 (+101)
TotalO/U 3.5 · over 1.92 (-109)O/U 3.5 · over 1.95 (-105)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
15%30%44%59%FC Cincinnati 43%Draw 23%Charlotte FC 34%
Asian handicap · FC Cincinnati
-0.75-0.5-0.25-0.5 → -0.25
Total · no change in the recorded window (3.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).