Sep 15, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC · 98 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 98 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 8 h 25 min before kickoff. Al-Nassr opened as the favorite at 1.72 (-139) and drifted to 1.96 (-104). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Al Ain 23% → 28%, draw 22% → 23%, Al-Nassr 55% → 48%. The Asian handicap moved from Al Ain +0.75 to Al Ain +0.5. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 50 minutes before kickoff: Al-Nassr went from 53% to 51% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Al Ain
4.15 (+315)
3.38 (+238)
Draw
4.31 (+331)
4.05 (+305)
Al-Nassr
1.72 (-139)
1.96 (-104)
Asian handicap
Al Ain +0.75 · 1.95 (-105)
Al Ain +0.5 · 1.88 (-114)
Total
O/U 3 · over 1.91 (-110)
O/U 3 · over 1.95 (-105)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Al Ain
Total (over/under)
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