Samsung Lions vs Kiwoom Heroes — odds movement
Sep 11, 2026 · 6:30 PM KST · 158 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch
How the odds moved
We recorded 158 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 13 h 25 min before first pitch. Samsung Lions opened as the favorite at 1.25 (-395) and shortened to 1.18 (-545). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Samsung Lions 76% → 80%, Kiwoom Heroes 24% → 20%. The run line held at Samsung Lions -1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 12. The sharpest single move came 20 minutes before first pitch: Kiwoom Heroes went from 22% to 20% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Samsung Lions | 1.25 (-395) | 1.18 (-545) |
| Kiwoom Heroes | 3.92 (+292) | 4.79 (+379) |
| run line | Samsung Lions -1.5 · 1.47 (-215) | Samsung Lions -1.5 · 1.37 (-270) |
| Total | O/U 12 · over 2.09 (+109) | O/U 12 · over 1.97 (-103) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).