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Samsung Lions vs Kiwoom Heroes — odds movement

Sep 11, 2026 · 6:30 PM KST · 158 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch

How the odds moved

We recorded 158 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 13 h 25 min before first pitch. Samsung Lions opened as the favorite at 1.25 (-395) and shortened to 1.18 (-545). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Samsung Lions 76% → 80%, Kiwoom Heroes 24% → 20%. The run line held at Samsung Lions -1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 12. The sharpest single move came 20 minutes before first pitch: Kiwoom Heroes went from 22% to 20% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Samsung Lions1.25 (-395)1.18 (-545)
Kiwoom Heroes3.92 (+292)4.79 (+379)
run lineSamsung Lions -1.5 · 1.47 (-215)Samsung Lions -1.5 · 1.37 (-270)
TotalO/U 12 · over 2.09 (+109)O/U 12 · over 1.97 (-103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
9%36%64%91%Samsung Lions 80%Kiwoom Heroes 20%
run line · no change in the recorded window (-1.5)
Total · no change in the recorded window (12)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).