Oct 15, 2026 · 4:45 PM UTC · 173 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 173 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 14 h 40 min before kickoff. FC Lugano opened as the favorite at 2.53 (+153) and shortened to 2.12 (+112). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): FC Lugano 38% → 45%, draw 26% → 26%, Crvena Zvezda 36% → 29%. The Asian handicap moved from FC Lugano 0 to FC Lugano -0.25. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3. The sharpest single move came 55 minutes before kickoff: FC Lugano went from 41% to 44% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
FC Lugano
2.53 (+153)
2.12 (+112)
Draw
3.70 (+270)
3.69 (+269)
Crvena Zvezda
2.64 (+164)
3.37 (+237)
Asian handicap
FC Lugano 0 · 1.89 (-112)
FC Lugano -0.25 · 1.85 (-117)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.89 (-112)
O/U 3 · over 2.05 (+105)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · FC Lugano
Total (over/under)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Scan with your phone camera