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⚽ Soccer Germany - Bundesliga Final

Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin — odds movement

Sep 18, 2026 · 6:30 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Bayern Munich opened as the favorite at 1.06 (-1748) and shortened to 1.05 (-2000). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Bayern Munich 91% → 92%, draw 5% → 5%, Union Berlin 4% → 2%. The Asian handicap moved from Bayern Munich -3.25 to Bayern Munich -3.75. The total moved up from 4.5 to 5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Bayern Munich1.06 (-1748)1.05 (-2000)
Draw19.54 (+1854)18.00 (+1700)
Union Berlin25.67 (+2467)46.00 (+4500)
Asian handicapBayern Munich -3.25 · 2.00 (+100)Bayern Munich -3.75 · 1.95 (-105)
TotalO/U 4.5 · over 1.85 (-118)O/U 5 · over 1.94 (-106)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-14%27%68%109%Bayern Munich 92%Draw 5%Union Berlin 2%
Asian handicap · Bayern Munich
-3.75-3.5-3.25-3.25 → -3.75
Total (over/under)
4.54.7554.5 → 5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).