Sep 18, 2026 · 6:45 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Monaco opened as the favorite at 2.07 (+107) and shortened to 1.86 (-116). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Monaco 47% → 52%, draw 26% → 25%, Lens 27% → 23%. The Asian handicap held at Monaco -0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 45 minutes before kickoff: Monaco went from 50% to 52% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Monaco
2.07 (+107)
1.86 (-116)
Draw
3.75 (+275)
3.90 (+290)
Lens
3.52 (+252)
4.24 (+324)
Asian handicap
Monaco -0.5 · 2.08 (+108)
Monaco -0.5 · 1.87 (-115)
Total
O/U 3 · over 1.90 (-111)
O/U 3 · over 1.83 (-121)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Monaco
Total · no change in the recorded window (3)
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