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⚽ Soccer Brazil - Serie A Final

Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba — odds movement

Sep 19, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC · 467 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 467 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 40 h 25 min before kickoff. Vasco da Gama opened as the favorite at 1.55 (-183) and shortened to 1.43 (-235). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Vasco da Gama 61% → 68%, draw 23% → 20%, Coritiba 16% → 12%. The Asian handicap moved from Vasco da Gama -1 to Vasco da Gama -1.25. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 22 h 30 min before kickoff: Vasco da Gama went from 61% to 64% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Vasco da Gama1.55 (-183)1.43 (-235)
Draw4.18 (+318)4.72 (+372)
Coritiba6.03 (+503)8.16 (+716)
Asian handicapVasco da Gama -1 · 1.93 (-107)Vasco da Gama -1.25 · 1.97 (-103)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.87 (-115)O/U 2.75 · over 2.01 (+101)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
2%27%52%78%Vasco da Gama 68%Draw 20%Coritiba 12%
Asian handicap · Vasco da Gama
-1.25-1-1 → -1.25
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.5 → 2.75

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).