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Doosan Bears vs Samsung Lions — odds movement

Sep 16, 2026 · 6:30 PM KST · 158 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch

How the odds moved

We recorded 158 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 13 h 25 min before first pitch. Samsung Lions opened as the favorite at 1.77 (-130) and drifted to 1.82 (-122). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Doosan Bears 46% → 48%, Samsung Lions 54% → 52%. The run line held at Doosan Bears +1.5 the whole way. The total moved down from 9 to 8. The sharpest single move came 35 minutes before first pitch: Samsung Lions went from 56% to 54% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Doosan Bears2.07 (+107)2.01 (+101)
Samsung Lions1.77 (-130)1.82 (-122)
run lineDoosan Bears +1.5 · 1.68 (-148)Doosan Bears +1.5 · 1.61 (-164)
TotalO/U 9 · over 1.97 (-103)O/U 8 · over 1.94 (-106)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
41%47%53%59%Doosan Bears 48%Samsung Lions 52%
run line · no change in the recorded window (+1.5)
Total (over/under)
899 → 8

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).