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🏀 Basketball Germany - Bundesliga Final

Alba Berlin vs BV Chemnitz 99 — odds movement

Sep 18, 2026 · 6:00 PM UTC · 175 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 175 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 15 h 10 min before tip-off. Alba Berlin opened as the favorite at 1.13 (-770) and drifted to 1.29 (-342). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Alba Berlin 84% → 74%, BV Chemnitz 99 16% → 26%. The spread moved from Alba Berlin -11.5 to Alba Berlin -9. The total moved down from 167.5 to 166. The sharpest single move came 4 h 30 min before tip-off: Alba Berlin went from 83% to 80% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Alba Berlin1.13 (-770)1.29 (-342)
BV Chemnitz 996.06 (+506)3.71 (+271)
spreadAlba Berlin -11.5 · 1.89 (-112)Alba Berlin -9 · 1.99 (-101)
TotalO/U 167.5 · over 1.94 (-106)O/U 166 · over 1.92 (-109)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
3%34%66%97%Alba Berlin 74%BV Chemnitz 99 26%
spread · Alba Berlin
-12.5-12-11.5-11-9.5-9-11.5 → -9
Total (over/under)
166167167.5168168.5167.5 → 166

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