Sep 18, 2026 · 6:00 PM UTC · 175 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off
How the odds moved
We recorded 175 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 15 h 10 min before tip-off. Alba Berlin opened as the favorite at 1.13 (-770) and drifted to 1.29 (-342). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Alba Berlin 84% → 74%, BV Chemnitz 99 16% → 26%. The spread moved from Alba Berlin -11.5 to Alba Berlin -9. The total moved down from 167.5 to 166. The sharpest single move came 4 h 30 min before tip-off: Alba Berlin went from 83% to 80% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Alba Berlin
1.13 (-770)
1.29 (-342)
BV Chemnitz 99
6.06 (+506)
3.71 (+271)
spread
Alba Berlin -11.5 · 1.89 (-112)
Alba Berlin -9 · 1.99 (-101)
Total
O/U 167.5 · over 1.94 (-106)
O/U 166 · over 1.92 (-109)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
spread · Alba Berlin
Total (over/under)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.