FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus — odds movement
Sep 19, 2026 · 7:00 PM JST · 479 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 479 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. FC Tokyo opened as the favorite at 1.74 (-135) and shortened to 1.56 (-180). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): FC Tokyo 55% → 62%, draw 23% → 21%, Nagoya Grampus 23% → 17%. The Asian handicap moved from FC Tokyo -0.75 to FC Tokyo -1. The total moved down from 3 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 5 h 40 min before kickoff: FC Tokyo went from 56% to 59% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| FC Tokyo | 1.74 (-135) | 1.56 (-180) |
| Draw | 4.15 (+315) | 4.61 (+361) |
| Nagoya Grampus | 4.20 (+320) | 5.61 (+461) |
| Asian handicap | FC Tokyo -0.75 · 1.96 (-104) | FC Tokyo -1 · 1.95 (-105) |
| Total | O/U 3 · over 2.01 (+101) | O/U 2.75 · over 1.95 (-105) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).