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Istanbul Basaksehir vs Genclerbirligi — odds movement

Sep 19, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Istanbul Basaksehir opened as the favorite at 1.51 (-195) and drifted to 1.75 (-133). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Istanbul Basaksehir 63% → 55%, draw 21% → 24%, Genclerbirligi 16% → 21%. The Asian handicap moved from Istanbul Basaksehir -1 to Istanbul Basaksehir -0.75. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 50 minutes before kickoff: Istanbul Basaksehir went from 57% to 56% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Istanbul Basaksehir1.51 (-195)1.75 (-133)
Draw4.47 (+347)4.08 (+308)
Genclerbirligi5.80 (+480)4.55 (+355)
Asian handicapIstanbul Basaksehir -1 · 1.89 (-112)Istanbul Basaksehir -0.75 · 1.97 (-103)
TotalO/U 3 · over 2.01 (+101)O/U 3 · over 1.96 (-104)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
8%29%50%71%Istanbul Basaksehir 55%Draw 24%Genclerbirligi 21%
Asian handicap · Istanbul Basaksehir
-1-0.75-1 → -0.75
Total (over/under)
2.7533 → 3

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).