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⚽ Soccer Mexico - Liga MX Final

Atlas vs Pumas UNAM — odds movement

Sep 19, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC · 476 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 476 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 39 h 55 min before kickoff. Atlas opened as the favorite at 2.56 (+156) and shortened to 2.27 (+127). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Atlas 37% → 43%, draw 31% → 28%, Pumas UNAM 31% → 29%. The Asian handicap moved from Atlas 0 to Atlas -0.25. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 7 h 5 min before kickoff: Atlas went from 37% to 41% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Atlas2.56 (+156)2.27 (+127)
Draw3.03 (+203)3.42 (+242)
Pumas UNAM3.04 (+204)3.33 (+233)
Asian handicapAtlas 0 · 1.77 (-130)Atlas -0.25 · 1.96 (-104)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.97 (-103)O/U 2.5 · over 1.93 (-108)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
26%32%39%45%Atlas 43%Draw 28%Pumas UNAM 29%
Asian handicap · Atlas
-0.2500 → -0.25
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).