Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union — odds movement
Sep 19, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · 623 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 623 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Philadelphia Union opened as the favorite at 1.65 (-153) and shortened to 1.49 (-204). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Sporting Kansas City 21% → 16%, draw 22% → 19%, Philadelphia Union 57% → 65%. The Asian handicap moved from Sporting Kansas City +0.75 to Sporting Kansas City +1.25. The total moved up from 3.25 to 3.5. The sharpest single move came 13 h 30 min before kickoff: Philadelphia Union went from 60% to 63% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Sporting Kansas City
4.50 (+350)
5.94 (+494)
Draw
4.38 (+338)
5.02 (+402)
Philadelphia Union
1.65 (-153)
1.49 (-204)
Asian handicap
Sporting Kansas City +0.75 · 2.04 (+104)
Sporting Kansas City +1.25 · 1.89 (-113)
Total
O/U 3.25 · over 1.88 (-114)
O/U 3.5 · over 2.01 (+101)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Sporting Kansas City
Total (over/under)
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