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Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union — odds movement

Sep 19, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · 623 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 623 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Philadelphia Union opened as the favorite at 1.65 (-153) and shortened to 1.49 (-204). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Sporting Kansas City 21% → 16%, draw 22% → 19%, Philadelphia Union 57% → 65%. The Asian handicap moved from Sporting Kansas City +0.75 to Sporting Kansas City +1.25. The total moved up from 3.25 to 3.5. The sharpest single move came 13 h 30 min before kickoff: Philadelphia Union went from 60% to 63% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Sporting Kansas City4.50 (+350)5.94 (+494)
Draw4.38 (+338)5.02 (+402)
Philadelphia Union1.65 (-153)1.49 (-204)
Asian handicapSporting Kansas City +0.75 · 2.04 (+104)Sporting Kansas City +1.25 · 1.89 (-113)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 1.88 (-114)O/U 3.5 · over 2.01 (+101)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
7%29%51%73%Sporting Kansas City 16%Draw 19%Philadelphia Union 65%
Asian handicap · Sporting Kansas City
+0.75+1+1.25+0.75 → +1.25
Total (over/under)
3.253.53.25 → 3.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).