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⚽ Soccer Korea Republic - K League 1 Final

Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen — odds movement

Sep 20, 2026 · 7:00 PM KST · 623 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 623 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Daejeon Citizen opened as the favorite at 2.56 (+156) and shortened to 2.53 (+153). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Incheon United 35% → 33%, draw 28% → 29%, Daejeon Citizen 37% → 38%. The Asian handicap held at Incheon United 0 the whole way. The total moved down from 2.5 to 2.25.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Incheon United2.76 (+176)2.95 (+195)
Draw3.38 (+238)3.35 (+235)
Daejeon Citizen2.56 (+156)2.53 (+153)
Asian handicapIncheon United 0 · 2.00 (+100)Incheon United 0 · 2.12 (+112)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.96 (-104)O/U 2.25 · over 1.83 (-120)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
26%31%36%41%Incheon United 33%Draw 29%Daejeon Citizen 38%
Asian handicap · Incheon United
0+0.250 → 0
Total (over/under)
2.252.52.5 → 2.25

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).