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🏀 Basketball Germany - Bundesliga Final

Ratiopharm Ulm vs Riesen Ludwigsburg — odds movement

Sep 20, 2026 · 2:30 PM UTC · 179 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 179 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 15 h 10 min before tip-off. Ratiopharm Ulm opened as the favorite at 1.68 (-147) and shortened to 1.62 (-161). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Ratiopharm Ulm 57% → 59%, Riesen Ludwigsburg 43% → 41%. The spread moved from Ratiopharm Ulm -2.5 to Ratiopharm Ulm -4. The total moved up from 167.5 to 169.5. The sharpest single move came 6 h 40 min before tip-off: Riesen Ludwigsburg went from 44% to 40% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Ratiopharm Ulm1.68 (-147)1.62 (-161)
Riesen Ludwigsburg2.19 (+119)2.35 (+135)
spreadRatiopharm Ulm -2.5 · 1.87 (-115)Ratiopharm Ulm -4 · 2.01 (+101)
TotalO/U 167.5 · over 1.80 (-125)O/U 169.5 · over 1.85 (-118)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
34%45%55%66%Ratiopharm Ulm 59%Riesen Ludwigsburg 41%
spread · Ratiopharm Ulm
-4-3.5-2.5-2.5 → -4
Total (over/under)
167.5168.5169.5167.5 → 169.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).