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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

Atlanta United vs New York City — odds movement

Sep 26, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 623 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 623 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: Atlanta United opened favored at 2.27 (+127), but by the last snapshot New York City was the favorite at 2.61 (+161). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Atlanta United 42% → 37%, draw 26% → 26%, New York City 32% → 37%. The Asian handicap moved from Atlanta United -0.25 to Atlanta United 0. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 9 h 10 min before kickoff: Atlanta United went from 41% to 40% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Atlanta United2.27 (+127)2.65 (+165)
Draw3.59 (+259)3.66 (+266)
New York City3.01 (+201)2.61 (+161)
Asian handicapAtlanta United -0.25 · 1.99 (-101)Atlanta United 0 · 1.97 (-103)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.91 (-110)O/U 2.75 · over 1.83 (-120)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
23%30%38%45%Atlanta United 37%Draw 26%New York City 37%
Asian handicap · Atlanta United
-0.250-0.25 → 0
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.75)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).