Oct 15, 2026 · 4:45 PM UTC · 626 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 626 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Bayer Leverkusen opened as the favorite at 1.65 (-155) and shortened to 1.43 (-232). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Lech Poznan 21% → 14%, draw 21% → 18%, Bayer Leverkusen 58% → 67%. The Asian handicap moved from Lech Poznan +0.75 to Lech Poznan +1.25. The total moved up from 3.25 to 3.5. The sharpest single move came 2 h 20 min before kickoff: Bayer Leverkusen went from 65% to 67% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Lech Poznan
4.51 (+351)
6.69 (+569)
Draw
4.43 (+343)
5.27 (+427)
Bayer Leverkusen
1.65 (-155)
1.43 (-232)
Asian handicap
Lech Poznan +0.75 · 2.06 (+106)
Lech Poznan +1.25 · 2.01 (+101)
Total
O/U 3.25 · over 1.97 (-103)
O/U 3.5 · over 1.89 (-113)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Lech Poznan
Total (over/under)
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